18
Feb
09

Noah’s Fail-Proof A-OK We Love America Oscar Predictions®!

Okay. Here we go. I’m so on my game this year.

BEST PICTURE
Should win: Slumdog Millionaire
Will win: Slumdog Millionaire
Should’ve been nominated: Wall-E

Total lock. Slumdog Millionaire will win on Sunday night. Tell your friends.

DIRECTOR
Should win: Danny Boyle, Slumdog Millionaire
Will win: Danny Boyle
Should’ve been nominated: Andrew Stanton, Wall-E

See above.

ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY
Should win: Wall-E
Will win: Milk
Should’ve been nominated: The Visitor, Tom McCarthy

Milk is the only Best Picture nominee in this category, so it will probably win. But I was so incredibly tempted to put Wall-E. If it wins and Milk doesn’t I will punish myself for ever doubting that little robot.

ADAPTED SCREENPLAY
Should win: Slumdog Millionaire
Will win: Slumdog Millionaire
Should’ve been nominated: Iron Man

Once again, Slumdog Millionaire will win.

ACTOR IN A LEADING ROLE
Should win: Anyone but Brad Pitt
Will win: Mickey Rourke
Should’ve been nominated: Ummmmmmm…

Sean Penn has the Critic’s Choice and the SAG. Mickey Rourke has the Golden Globe and the BAFTA. I’m going with Mickey, since the BAFTAS have proved a better indicator of acting winners in recent years.

ACTRESS IN A LEADING ROLE
Should win: Either Sally Hawkins or Kristin Scott Thomas [neither of whom were nominated]
Will win: Kate Winslet
Should’ve been nominated: Sally Hawkins and Kristin Scott Thomas

The Academy really screwed up here. Sally Hawkins and Kristin Scott Thomas, in Happy-Go-Lucky and I’ve Loved You So Long, respectively, gave the two best leading female performances of the year. Sucks for them. Kate Winslet takes it, with a weird upset possible with Meryl Streep.

ACTOR IN A SUPPORTING ROLE
Blah blah blah Heath Ledger wins yay.

ACTRESS IN A SUPPORTING ROLE
Should win: Amy Adams or Viola Davis for Doubt
Will win: Penelope Cruz
Should’ve been nominated: Elsa Zylberstein [I've Loved You So Long]

Weird category. Kate Winslet has won almost every award in this category for The Reader, which she’s nominated for in the lead category. Penelope Cruz, however, won the BAFTA, plus several critics awards. Upset possible with Viola Davis.

FOREIGN LANGUAGE FILM
Will win: Waltz With Bashir
Weird upset: The Class

ANIMATED FEATURE
Will/Should win: Wall-E

DOCUMENTARY FEATURE
Will win: Man on Wire
Weird upset: Trouble the Water

DOCUMENTARY SHORT
Will win: The Witness from the Balcony of Room 306

SHORT FILM – ANIMATED
Will/Should win: Presto! Because it was awesome. And people actually saw it.

SHORT FILM – LIVE ACTION
Will win: Toyland
Upset: The Pig

ORIGINAL SCORE
Will/Should win: AR Rahman for Slumdog Millionaire
Weird upset: Alexandre Desplat for The Curious Case of Benjamin Button [yuck!]

ORIGINAL SONG
Will win: Jai Ho from Slumdog
Should win: O… Saya from Slumdog
Upset: Down to Earth from Wall-E

ART DIRECTION
Will/Should win: Curious Case…

CINEMATOGRAPHY
Will/Should win: Slumdog Millionaire

COSTUME DESIGN
Will win: The Duchess

MAKEUP
Will win: Curious Case…

SOUND MIXING
Will win: The Dark Knight

SOUND EDITING
Will win: Wall-E

VISUAL EFFECTS
Will win: Curious Case…

FILM EDITING
Will/Should win: Slumdog Millionaire

Just watch me get every category wrong…


1 Response to “Noah’s Fail-Proof A-OK We Love America Oscar Predictions®!”


  1. 1 clau
    February 25, 2009 at 6:42 am

    ahahah you got almost everything! :D I did 16 right guesses on my oscar ballot, I predicted Mickey too…Sean Penn was a nice surprise though :)


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